Expect widespread rain at times on Tuesday with gusty weather and more rain coming. The atmospheric river will be around through at least Thursday and into Friday. KIRO 7 Meteorologists have issued a Pinpoint Alert for Wednesday because of river flooding possibilities starting as early as tomorrow morning for the Tolt River.
KIRO 7 is declaring a PinPoint Alert Day on Wednesday for flood activity expected on multiple rivers in Western Washington.
An atmospheric river sets up this week with a direct stream from near Hawaii of warmer, very moist air (a true “pineapple express”), and this is going to keep snow levels in the mountains very high, meaning rain instead of snow all the way to above 8,000 feet in elevation starting Tuesday.
Rain is falling now and will be on and off for days, with the brunt of the rain shifting south at times and north at times. We have several days of soggy weather with 1-2 inches of lowland rain, on average, around the Sound and more at the coast through the end of the week. In the mountains, 4-8 inches of rain will fall.
It will also be breezy at times through midweek with gusts in the 20-30mph range at times, but no extreme winds are expected.
While the lowlands will be able to handle the wet weather this week, the high snow levels in the mountains mean a lot of rain on top of fresh, unstable snowpack. Avalanche danger will remain very high this week, and the rain combined with some melting snow will bring some rivers into flood stage.
Farther north, flooding impacts will be more likely on the Skagit River on Friday and Saturday as runoff will take longer to impact that river system. Moderate flooding is currently projected on the Skagit to end the work week and begin the weekend.
The first rivers to likely see a significant impact will be the Tolt/Snoqualmie river system. The Tolt River is now projected to reach major flood stage on Wednesday morning, with runoff into the Snoqualmie River bringing the level at Carnation to moderate flood stage on Wednesday as well. The Snohomish River is expected to reach moderate flood stage by Thursday morning. Residents along these rivers need to heed advice as waters will rise quickly by late Tuesday, if forecasts hold.
River forecasts will continue to be modified as rain falls, so there could be some changes to forecast flood stages and times.
We’ll get a break in the rain over the weekend, but next week’s weather looks like it could be unsettled once again, but cooler — with a return to lowland rain showers and mountain snow. Spring officially begins at 7:46 a.m. this coming Friday.
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